Rhode Island Policy Reporter

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A look at the lousy situation Rhode Island is in, how we got here, and how we might be able to get out.

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RIPR is a (paper) newsletter and a weekly column appearing in ten of Rhode Island's finer newspapers. The goal is to look at local, state and federal policy issues that affect life here in the Ocean State, concentrating on action, not intentions or talk.

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whole site RIPR back issues

Available Back Issues:

  • Aug 09 (38) - How your government's economic policies have worked against you. What a fake nineteenth century nun can teach us about the tea party protests.
  • Jun 09 (37) - Statistics of optimism, the real cost of your government. Judith Reilly on renewable tax credits. Review of Akerlof and Shiller on behavioral economics.
  • Apr 09 (36) - Cap and trade, the truth behind the card check controversy, review of Governor's tax policy workgroup final report.
  • Feb 09 (35) - The many varieties of market failures, and what classic economics has to say about them, review of Nixonland by Rick Perlstein.
  • Dec 08 (34) - Can "Housing First" end homelessness? The perils of TIF. Review of You Can't Be President by John MacArthur.
  • Oct 08 (33) - Wage stagnation, financial innovation and deregulation: creating the financial crisis, the political rhetoric of the Medicaid waiver.
  • Jul 08 (32) - Where has the money gone? Could suburban sprawl be part of our fiscal problem? Review of Bad Money by Kevin Phillips, news trivia or trivial news.
  • Apr 08 (31) - Understanding homelessness in RI, by Eric Hirsch, market segmentation and the housing market, the economics of irrationality.
  • Feb 08 (30) - IRS migration data, and what it says about RI, a close look at "entitlements", historic credit taxonomy, an investment banking sub-primer.
  • Dec 07 (29) - A look at the state's underinsured, economic geography with IRS data.
  • Oct 07 (28) - Choosing the most expensive ways to fight crime, bait and switch tax cuts, review of Against Prediction, about the perils of using statistics to fight crime.
  • Aug 07 (27) - Sub-prime mortgages fall heaviest on some neighborhoods, biotech patents in decline, no photo IDs for voting, review of Al Gore's Against Reason
  • Jun 07 (26) - Education funding, budget secrecy, book review of Boomsday and the Social Security Trustees' Report
  • May 07 (25) - Municipal finance: could citizen mobility cause high property taxes? What some Depression-era economists had to say on investment, and why it's relevant today, again.
  • Mar 07 (24) - The state budget disaster and how we got here. Structural deficit, health care, borrowing, unfunded liabilities, the works.
  • Jan 07 (23) - The impact of real estate speculation on housing prices, reshaping the electoral college. Book review of Blocking the Courthouse Door on tort "reform."
  • Dec 06 (22) - State deficit: What's so responsible about this? DOT bonding madness, Quonset, again, Massachusetts budget comparison.
  • Oct 06 (21) - Book review: Out of Iraq by Geo. McGovern and William Polk, New rules about supervisors undercut unions, New Hampshire comparisons, and November referenda guide.
  • Aug 06 (20) - Measuring teacher quality, anti-planning referenda and the conspiracy to promote them, affordable housing in the suburbs, union elections v. card checks.
  • Jun 06 (19) - Education report, Do tax cut really shrink government?, Casinos and constitutions, State historic tax credit: who uses it.
  • May 06 (18) - Distribution analysis of property taxes by town, critique of RIEDC statistics, how to reform health care, and how not to.
  • Mar 06 (17) - Critique of commonly used statistics: RI/MA rich people disparity, median income, etc. Our economic dependence on high health care spending. Review of Crashing the Gate
  • Feb 06 (16) - Unnecessary accounting changes mean disaster ahead for state and towns, reforming property tax assessment, random state budget notes.
  • Jan 06 (15) - Educational equity, estimating the amount of real estate speculation in Rhode Island, interview with Thom Deller, Providence's chief planner.
  • Nov 05 (14) - The distribution of affordable houses and people who need them, a look at RI's affordable housing laws.
  • Sep 05 (13) - A solution to pension strife, review of J.K. Galbraith biography and why we should care.
  • Jul 05 (12) - Kelo v. New London: Eminent Domain, and what's between the lines in New London.
  • Jun 05 (11) - Teacher salaries, Veterinarian salaries and the minimum wage. Book review: Confessions of an Economic Hit Man
  • Apr 05 (10) - Choosing a crisis: Tax fairness and school funding, suggestions for reform. Book review: business location and tax incentives.
  • Feb 05 (9) - State and teacher pension costs kept artificially high. Miscellaneous tax suggestions for balancing the state budget.
  • Dec 04 (8) - Welfare applications and the iconography of welfare department logos. The reality of the Social Security trust fund.
  • Oct 04 (7) - RIPTA and DOT, who's really in crisis?
  • Aug 04 (6) - MTBE and well pollution, Mathematical problems with property taxes
  • May 04 (5) - A look at food-safety issues: mad cows, genetic engineering, disappearing farmland.
  • Mar 04 (4) - FY05 RI State Budget Critique.
  • Feb 04 (3) - A close look at the Blue Cross of RI annual statement.
  • Oct 03 (2) - Taxing matters, a historical overview of tax burdens in Rhode Island
  • Oct 03 Appendix - Methodology notes and sources for October issue
  • Apr 03 (1) - FY04 RI State Budget critique
Issues are issued in paper. They are archived irregularly here.

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Tue, 28 Jul 2009

Ten Things You Don't Know About Rhode Island

I'm happy to announce that Ten Things You Don't Know About Rhode Island is now available. The book, a collection of articles and columns written over the past couple of years, is my attempt to begin to assimilate a critique of the conventional tale about Rhode Island's woes.

What's that conventional tale? Let me quote the introduction to the book:

Rhode Island is in a crisis! Hamstrung by a legislature in thrall to powerful unions and the lobbyists for social service agencies, we have spent far beyond our means. Furthermore, profligate spending by cities and towns is bankrupting local government, and threatens to take the state down, too. Meanwhile, to satisfy the unquenchable demand for government services and benefits, taxes are rising every year without end.

Does this story sound familiar? It should. I encounter it in the newspaper, on the internet, on talk radio, and even in conversation with my friends. You probably do, too. I think of it as the "conventional tale," and it defines the politics of the past two decades here in Rhode Island. I've heard it not just from friends and neighbors, but from the vast majority of the many legislators, town councilors, school committee members I've ever spoken with.

The problem is that this conventional tale is wrong in nearly every particular. Labor has several allies in the state legislature, but it has lost almost all the high-profile battles it has undertaken over the past decade. Welfare benefits are stingy and hard to get here, just like in other states, and the welfare rolls have declined dramatically over the past dozen years. Meanwhile, few municipalities are spending any more than the bare minimum necessary to meet legal requirements -- and the ever-increasing demand for services by their own residents.

What about taxes? Aren't Rhode Islanders paying more and more taxes each year? Even this, it turns out, is not correct. If you ignore the take from the Rhode Island Lottery and the video slot terminals in Newport and Lincoln, the proportion of our state's economy collected in state fees and taxes plus all local property taxes has barely budged, except to decline slightly since the early 1990's. What's changed is who pays them.

See more ...

00:08 - 28 Jul 2009 [/y9/jy] link

Sun, 26 Jul 2009

Efficient or not? Can't be both.

A few weeks ago I was in Maine with a good friend of mine, and we happened to walk by a little rural post office. My friend gestured with his thumb and said, "You know what's killing the Post Office? Having to support thousands of tiny offices like that."

A little while later, I mentioned that it is now much cheaper to send an overnight letter via the Post Office than by Federal Express, and he said, "Well, they've got all the infrastructure." An essential part of that "infrastructure" is all those rural post offices. In other words, the public sector is terribly inefficient, except where it isn't.

You see this all over. A few months ago, I was watching my local school committee discuss the possibility of letting the school kitchen offer some limited catering services to the public as a way earn some extra income and offset the cost of producing school lunches. One of the members nearly blew his top at the suggestion and vigorously denounced the idea as unfair to competing businesses. This came mere moments after he suggested it would save money to privatize the same kitchen. This was a new member, just elected last November, and this was also the first time I'd seen him so worked up. An ex-committee member sitting next to me (a Republican) leaned over and asked me to explain why he was so heated about a simple idea to earn the district some money.

We're not alone in puzzling over this attitude. President Obama expressed the same thing in a press conference last month, where he defended the a public insurance option in the health care reform. He pointed out that either the public plan would be too inefficient to compete with private insurers, or not. But you can't argue both that it's so efficient it will put private insurers out of business and that it's an inefficient waste of taxpayer money. It's got to be one or the other, according to the rule of the excluded middle, one of the logical rules handed down to us from Aristotle.

See more ...

23:26 - 26 Jul 2009 [/y9/cols] link

Fri, 24 Jul 2009

Another one

Who says we're the most corrupt state? Only people who don't get out much.

Remember this? Measures of corruption from last winter. Especially check out the survey of statehouse reporters.

10:26 - 24 Jul 2009 [/y9/jy] link

Sat, 18 Jul 2009

We need more curiosity, less condemnation

Our state is the smallest state, of course, but do you also think it's the weakest, dumbest, most expensive and most corrupt? If so, you're not alone. But why do you believe that? Is it because it's true, or just because you've been told it so often?

In truth, it seems there is a curious sort of civic self-loathing among Rhode Islanders that seems to leave us perpetually ready to believe the worst about our state. Playing to this suspicion is a fairly effective way to get elected, so there's a large class of policitians and activists with a lot of personal prestige based on such claims. So you hear this kind of auto-insult, a lot. My favorite recent example came up in the news last month about Providence fire fighters.

Now I'm a little chagrined to have no useful opinion about the Providence fire fighters' union and its dispute with Mayor Cicilline. I simply haven't spent enough time with the details of the issue to understand what's going on. Plus I always harbor a suspicion that when two sides let a dispute like this fester so long there are issues in play that no one's talking about. But I don't know that, so can say no more.

What I can say is that there is a statistic about firefighters making the rounds that is highly misleading in some important ways. You heard its echo in news stories covering the firefighters' picket of the National Mayor's Conference, in claims that Providence has the most expensive department in the most expensive state for firefighters. But wait a minute. Who says we are the most expensive state for firefighters?

See more ...

23:21 - 18 Jul 2009 [/y9/cols] link

Tue, 14 Jul 2009

Health care: Hope for Congress

I spent an evening last week engaged in a 21st century American chore: reading the fine print on competing health plans. There I was, trying to discern whether one plan, that covered "100% of eligible expenses" but has no "out-of-pocket" limit is better or worse for my family than another that covers 90%, but has an out-of-pocket annual limit. After failing to find adequate definitions of "eligible" for one plan and failing to determine whether the absence of a qualifier in the other really meant "all," I felt like throwing the whole mess across the room.

Our nation has accomplished some phenomenal things in medicine. Our medical care is the envy of the whole world, except for one teensy detail: its cost. As of a 2003 survey, we spend more per person each year on medical care, than any other country in the world. By a lot. The second place country, Switzerland, has only two-thirds of our expenses, and almost every other country spends half what we do, or less.

What's more, because of its high cost, we get less of that magical care than people in many other places. So our infant mortality is higher and our life expectancy lower than in virtually any other industrial country.

Now I read that the plans making their way through Congress are expected to cost somewhere between $1 trillion and $1.6 trillion more than what we're already paying (over ten years). For those keeping score, we already pay around $1.6 trillion in health care costs each year.

Which is all to say that the only way that Congress can figure out to control health care costs is to increase the costs we're already paying? Some reform. But apparently we're doing this to preserve the valuable parts of our system.

Which parts do you want to preserve? The all-expenses paid conferences in Aruba that drug companies hold for doctors? The endless pads, pens, tote bags, and tape dispensers advertising drugs? The conflicts of interest where physicians have a financial stake in the tests they order? The millions paid to the United Health's CEO? Or maybe the millions paid to the Lifespan CEO? Who pays for all that? You do.

See more ...

00:00 - 14 Jul 2009 [/y9/cols] link

Tue, 07 Jul 2009

Leadership, but to where?

During the budget debate a couple of weeks back, House Majority Leader Gordon Fox offered some stern words about leadership. "You're here to be leaders," he told his House colleagues.

He's absolutely right. It takes a special kind of leadership to insist that cutting taxes for rich people is the only way to raise enough revenue to deal with our fiscal crisis. It's the leadership of the bus driver who takes his bus right off the cliff, assuring the passengers he'll find the button to make it unfold into a jet on the way down: "It's got to be here somewhere!"

It is also, of course, a leadership built on threats of retribution. Assembly members well understand that a legislative proposal is not judged on its merits, but on the "loyalty" of its sponsor. A "no" vote on the budget dramatically decreases the chances that any bill of yours, no matter how important or useful, will be considered. This is the way House Speakers have maintained control for decades, and so everyone thinks it normal, and that's why there was such a crush of bills to pass that had been held until after the budget vote. I have no doubt whatever that Speaker William Murphy and his team feel this budget is the best they can do for the state. But let's be clear: when they prevent members' bills from consideration based on anything besides the merits of the bill, they subordinate the good of the state to that of the Speaker and his team, and I can't imagine why they would expect praise for that.

See more ...

13:20 - 07 Jul 2009 [/y9/cols] link

Do they care enough to share?

An important part of Rhode Island's budget puzzle is the budgets of our cities, towns, school districts and fire districts. The state offers a considerable amount of aid each year to the cities and towns, and it seems to be a permanent bone of contention. A couple of weeks back I wrote about how folks at the Assembly seem to think the money is largely wasted.

Well last week, they proved it by axing one program of aid, called "general revenue sharing." This was a program, begun under Governor Bruce Sundlun, that allocated a set percentage of the state's general revenues (mostly sales and income taxes) to the cities and towns. At first it was just 1%, but in 1998, the Assembly changed it to ramp up to 4.7% by 2009.

But the optimism gave way, and in 2002, we delayed the phase-in by a year. Then, in 2004, Governor Carcieri suggested it be delayed another year. His budget that year level-funded the program and delayed the phase-in schedule by a year. But then the next year, he proposed something similar, and that was pretty much the end of ambition. For the fiscal year 2009, the one that finishes at the end of this month, we originally allocated $55 million last year, about 4% of municipal budgets. The supplemental budget this year was going to eliminate this aid entirely, but a near-revolt in the House earlier this spring saved $25 million of it.

The budget draft reported out of the House Finance committee contained zero dollars for the program. It didn't repeal the provision of the law, but it did remove the percentage targets entirely and inserts language to say the whole thing is up to the whim of future Assemblies. Of course they've made it clear that municipal funding is up to the whim of the current Assembly, too, so maybe there's not much of a change there.

See more ...

13:20 - 07 Jul 2009 [/y9/cols] link

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