Rhode Island Policy Reporter

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RIPR is a (paper) newsletter that looks at local, state and federal policy issues that affect life here in the Ocean State. Each issue focuses on particular policy areas of interest. Future issues will examine controversial aspects of environmental policy, health care, state tax reform, and education spending. The intention is to look at action rather than talk.

RIPR also issues a weekly column about public policy, carried by ten of Rhode Island's finer newspapers. See here for an archive of recent columns.

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Available Back Issues:

  • Apr 08 (31) - Understanding homelessness in RI, by Eric Hirsch, market segmentation and the housing market, the economics of irrationality.
  • Feb 08 (30) - IRS migration data, and what it says about RI, a close look at "entitlements", historic credit taxonomy, an investment banking sub-primer.
  • Dec 07 (29) - A look at the state's underinsured, economic geography with IRS data.
  • Oct 07 (28) - Choosing the most expensive ways to fight crime, bait and switch tax cuts, review of Against Prediction, about the perils of using statistics to fight crime.
  • Aug 07 (27) - Sub-prime mortgages fall heaviest on some neighborhoods, biotech patents in decline, no photo IDs for voting, review of Al Gore's Against Reason
  • Jun 07 (26) - Education funding, budget secrecy, book review of Boomsday and the Social Security Trustees' Report
  • May 07 (25) - Municipal finance: could citizen mobility cause high property taxes? What some Depression-era economists had to say on investment, and why it's relevant today, again.
  • Mar 07 (24) - The state budget disaster and how we got here. Structural deficit, health care, borrowing, unfunded liabilities, the works.
  • Jan 07 (23) - The impact of real estate speculation on housing prices, reshaping the electoral college. Book review of Blocking the Courthouse Door on tort "reform."
  • Dec 06 (22) - State deficit: What's so responsible about this? DOT bonding madness, Quonset, again, Massachusetts budget comparison.
  • Oct 06 (21) - Book review: Out of Iraq by Geo. McGovern and William Polk, New rules about supervisors undercut unions, New Hampshire comparisons, and November referenda guide.
  • Aug 06 (20) - Measuring teacher quality, anti-planning referenda and the conspiracy to promote them, affordable housing in the suburbs, union elections v. card checks.
  • Jun 06 (19) - Education report, Do tax cut really shrink government?, Casinos and constitutions, State historic tax credit: who uses it.
  • May 06 (18) - Distribution analysis of property taxes by town, critique of RIEDC statistics, how to reform health care, and how not to.
  • Mar 06 (17) - Critique of commonly used statistics: RI/MA rich people disparity, median income, etc. Our economic dependence on high health care spending. Review of Crashing the Gate
  • Feb 06 (16) - Unnecessary accounting changes mean disaster ahead for state and towns, reforming property tax assessment, random state budget notes.
  • Jan 06 (15) - Educational equity, estimating the amount of real estate speculation in Rhode Island, interview with Thom Deller, Providence's chief planner.
  • Nov 05 (14) - The distribution of affordable houses and people who need them, a look at RI's affordable housing laws.
  • Sep 05 (13) - A solution to pension strife, review of J.K. Galbraith biography and why we should care.
  • Jul 05 (12) - Kelo v. New London: Eminent Domain, and what's between the lines in New London.
  • Jun 05 (11) - Teacher salaries, Veterinarian salaries and the minimum wage. Book review: Confessions of an Economic Hit Man
  • Apr 05 (10) - Choosing a crisis: Tax fairness and school funding, suggestions for reform. Book review: business location and tax incentives.
  • Feb 05 (9) - State and teacher pension costs kept artificially high. Miscellaneous tax suggestions for balancing the state budget.
  • Dec 04 (8) - Welfare applications and the iconography of welfare department logos. The reality of the Social Security trust fund.
  • Oct 04 (7) - RIPTA and DOT, who's really in crisis?
  • Aug 04 (6) - MTBE and well pollution, Mathematical problems with property taxes
  • May 04 (5) - A look at food-safety issues: mad cows, genetic engineering, disappearing farmland.
  • Mar 04 (4) - FY05 RI State Budget Critique.
  • Feb 04 (3) - A close look at the Blue Cross of RI annual statement.
  • Oct 03 (2) - Taxing matters, a historical overview of tax burdens in Rhode Island
  • Oct 03 Appendix - Methodology notes and sources for October issue
  • Apr 03 (1) - FY04 RI State Budget critique
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Creative Commons License Tom Sgouros

Mon, 18 Aug 2008

Fish don't notice the water

After pointing out such state budget trivia as the fact that poor people and immigrants can hardly be the cause of our fiscal woes, I am often asked, "Well, where does the money go?"

Like any interesting question, this has a complicated answer, but it has an answer. I don't have my finger on all the parts of it, but I see some of it, and a big part is something very few people pay attention to, perhaps on purpose.


It's said that fish don't notice the water, and like those clueless fish, most of us don't give the shape of our world much thought. It's just the way the world is, after all. Providence is a city, where some people work and lots of poor people live. Some rich people live there, too. The suburbs are less expensive to live in, and have better schools. Some suburbs are quite rich towns, and so on. These things have been true for a long time.

But they haven't been true forever. Browsing in Department of Education archives, I recently ran across a report listing the property value per student in each of Rhode Island's towns in 1950, and it's a pretty different list than you'd make today. Narragansett is at the top of the list, because of a few grand mansions and because they only had about 400 students. But the top of the list is actually dominated by the state's cities. After Narragansett came Providence, Pawtucket, Woonsocket, and Central Falls right in a row. (The complete list is printed in this month's Rhode Island Policy Reporter.) This is pretty easy to understand. In 1950, the city was where the action was. The country was for rubes. Providence's schools were the pride of the state, and the taxes were lowest there, too. Hopkinton had the highest tax rate of any city or town.

Needless to say, this isn't the case any more.

Similar surprises were further down the 1950 list. East Greenwich was near the basement, just a bit above Warwick and a few notches behind North Kingstown.

What happened? Well, people moved out of the cities, and we had a baby boom. But you may not have noticed, because you grew up in the world where both of these things were so easy to take for granted.

As people moved from the cities, they were selling land and houses there, driving down prices, and buying land out of town, driving up those prices. The result was that through the 1950's and 1960's, not only were suburban growth rates of 4% and 5% per year not at all uncommon (North Kingstown, Coventry, East Greenwich, among others), but the prices of property went up fast, too. When tax rolls grow that fast, and land values are increasing, revenues grow, too. Under those conditions, anyone can balance a budget, and many did so while clucking sanctimoniously at the cities. (Many still do.)

Meanwhile, in those cities, property values declined, but services couldn't. Providence has only two-thirds the number of people it had in 1950, and a much smaller fraction of the property value, but it has the same number of blocks to police, the same number of houses to burn, and it has more students in its schools.

The growth of suburban budgets financed a 50-year building spree, as we put roads, bridges, schools and fire stations all over the state. In 1958, we had about 3,020 miles of local roads in the state, according to a report archived in the statehouse library. In 2006, Federal Highway statistics show we had 5,538 miles. (We count miles differently now, so the difference is likely even greater than it seems.) We've built sewer systems in Warwick, expanded water systems in Kent County and the East Bay and converted volunteer fire departments to professionals all over the state. In essence, we've built ourselves almost a whole second state's worth of infrastructure.

The ironic thing about all this is it's much more expensive to provide the same level of any municipal service in the suburbs than in the cities. When houses are far apart, it takes more pipe to get water to them or sewage from them. School transportation costs more, and there are many fewer taxpayers per mile of local roads. So long as any individual town's growth rate was high enough, this wasn't a problem, but as soon as growth flags, the piper comes for his due, and years of heedless building have to be paid for.

The other big problem comes when suburban residents start demanding (or needing) the same level of services as the cities provide. When people move to the sticks and then demand fire response times comparable to what they'd have in Providence, you have a recipe for very high costs. When crime rates creeping upward make suburban residents demand policing like they'd get in Pawtucket, that's a problem. When increasing density increases water pollution to the point that people demand new sewers, well that's pretty expensive, too.

There is a "blue-ribbon" tax commission meeting through this fall to talk about how tax policy should be shaped for our state's future. Let them not fail to take into account the paradox of our tax system: the places where services are expensive are the places with the low taxes.

Think that's not your problem? You're in the suburbs and all's fine with you? Let the cities deal with their own problems? Wait until high gas prices start driving people back into the cities, and the shoe will be on the other foot. In the meantime, let's come up with a tax system that doesn't penalize us when people move.

10:47 - 18 Aug 2008 [/y8/cols] link

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